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3

Shakin It Up Larry

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 90

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength37%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/07/2025 · OR 97 par28/07C6OR 97C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark11/08/2025 · OR 99 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 97 par15/09C8OR 97C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 96 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 96 par15/10C6OR 96C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 93 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 92 par17/06C6OR 92C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 92 par21/09C7OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-15Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2025-09-29Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0729/0917/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength41%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20257th25/10%33%+0.33
11/08/20256th15/261%17%-0.44
15/09/20252nd10/382%80%-0.02
29/09/20255th7/163%20%-0.43
15/10/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
01/06/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
17/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
21/09/20266th16/116%0%-0.16