1
Vinsanity
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |