Beautiful Crazy
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 10% | -0.51 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |