5
Miss M M
6yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 70
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |