7
Les Is Best
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength93%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |