Camm' Duke
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |