Kotylos
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |