5
Night Ride
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 89
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 08/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 03/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |