7
Artavian
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · Draw 10 · OR 52
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f 21y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Nottingham | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 08/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 08/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |