3

Beaune

4yo Gelding · 11-1 · Draw 12 · OR 54

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f 21y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time all-weather winner early in 2026. Largely running well of late until tenth of 12 in handicap at Chester (2m, soft) last time. Could bounce back off a handy-looking mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 131 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 51 par10/046OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 56 · 1m4f51y Std 132 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m3f137y Gd 135 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 60 par4/056OR 605 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m4f51y Std 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m3f209y Goo 141 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 59 par29/066OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 58 · 1m5f219y Std 154 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 57 · 1m3f209y Gd 137 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 57 par4/086OR 575 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 56 · 1m7f169y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 56 par5 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m7f196y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 55 par11/095OR 55projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester510th9th+1
2026-08-18Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2026-08-04Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-06-29Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-05-29Wolverhampton57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0429/054/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
21/04/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
04/05/20268th4/179%13%-0.66
29/05/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
29/06/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
21/07/20263rd4/179%80%+0.01
04/08/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
18/08/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
11/09/202610th14/126%18%-0.08