2

Cougar

7yo Gelding · 11-1 · Draw 5 · OR 54

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f 21y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back-to-back winner last September for Iain Jardine. Well below his best this season though for 3 different yards, last of 9 over 11f here on yard debut 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Hamilton 03/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m3f15y Goo 130 · below its mark03/09/2025 · OR 53 par3/096OR 536 @ Musselburgh 14/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 51 · 1m4f104y Goo 121 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Hamilton 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 51 · 1m4f15y Sft 135 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 51 par21/096OR 514 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m4f8y Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Musselburgh 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 61 · 1m4f104y Goo 133 · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 61 par29/046OR 615 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 1m4f104y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 59 · 1m4f13y GF 148 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 par15/075OR 596 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m2f190y Sft 152 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Southwell 17/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m3f23y Std 155 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 56 par17/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Southwell69th9th0
2026-08-31Ripon67th7th0
2026-07-15Catterick55th4th+1
2026-05-21Musselburgh55th4th+1
2026-04-29Musselburgh67th7th0
2026-04-18Thirsk412th10th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0918/0415/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength20%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
14/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
21/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
18/04/202612th33/10%0%0.00
29/04/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
21/05/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
15/07/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
31/08/20267th150/10%33%+0.33
17/09/20269th66/10%0%0.00