11
Rosiliane
2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 7
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y
#11
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -49.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |