6

Thespian Queen

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 12

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

48%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went backwards from a promising debut Kempton (7f) second when sixth of 13 in novice at Goodwood (1m, good to soft) 38 days ago. Worth another chance after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 12810/0842 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS29/082projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Goodwood26th4th+2
2026-08-10Kempton42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -24.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20262nd17/255%91%+0.36
29/08/20266th10/147%58%+0.11