Constant Star
3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |