9
Glorious Kitty
4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 68
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Ayr | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Carlisle | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ayr | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |