Lady Mariko
4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 18th | 14th | +3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 52% | +0.26 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 17/06/2026 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |