Royale Union
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 67
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 7f 14y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Catterick | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 18/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |