IvyArcIvyArc
3

Engraved

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 3

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

200,000 gns breeze-up purchase. Made a promising start with second in 7f Ffos Las maiden in August but stiff task when well held in listed race at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Remains with potential back in these calmer waters.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 13312/0831 @ Doncaster 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS11/091projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Doncaster18th5th+2
2026-08-12Ffos Las32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -12.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
11/09/20268th16/116%13%-0.03