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4

Fourth Crusade

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 14

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-related St Mark's Basilica colt but well held in 7f novices at Epsom and Ffos Las last month. The sort to do better in due course.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13310/0933 @ Ffos Las 27/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f80y Sft 13327/093projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Ffos Las35th5th0
2026-09-10Epsom Downs39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0927/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
27/09/20265th50/10%0%0.00