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5

Geometry

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 6

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kodiac colt shaped encouragingly when third of 7 in novice at Newcastle (7f, 11/8) on his debut 31 days ago. Clearly thought capable of better and not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1335/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26