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6

Maxton

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 7

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#11

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kingman colt showed promise when a debut fourth in maiden at Lingfield (6f, all-weather) but seemed ill-at-ease on track when sixth of 14 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Remains open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 13310/0943 @ Newmarket 25/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12825/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Newmarket36th6th0
2026-09-10Lingfield44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength27%

Delivery trend -10.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20264th17/255%67%+0.11
25/09/20266th15/261%62%+0.01