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11

Speyside

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 13

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising initial third in 7f Goodwood maiden but went backwards when well held in another 7f maiden at York later in August. Worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/0822 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/082projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York211th10th+1
2026-08-01Goodwood23rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -118.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20263rd40/10%83%+0.83
21/08/202611th8/158%23%-0.35