Daytona Lady
6yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 62
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 6f 16y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 21/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |