2
Keldeo
5yo Mare · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 67
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap · 6f 16y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |