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Crypto Quest

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 5 · OR 53

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap · 4f 214y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

It's now thirteen runs since his last win in 2023 and he's offered little in a trio of runs this summer, seventh of 9 in handicap over C&D 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Catterick 30/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 5f212y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/04/2024 · OR 70 par30/045OR 704 @ Carlisle 20/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f182y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2024 · OR 71 par5 @ Doncaster 28/06/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f2y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2024 · OR 71 par28/065OR 716 @ Wolverhampton 16/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 62 · 6f20y Std 132 · below its mark16/08/2024 · OR 62 par6 @ Southwell 30/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 60 · 4f214y Std 135 · beat its mark30/08/2024 · OR 60 par30/086OR 606 @ Southwell 26/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 60 · 4f214y Std 133 · beat its mark26/09/2024 · OR 60 par5 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f16y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 56 par27/085OR 565 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 5f60y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Southwell 26/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 55 · 4f214y Std 128 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 55 par26/096OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Southwell67th7th0
2026-09-01Brighton56th5th+1
2026-08-27Southwell511th10th+1
2024-09-26Southwell63rd3rd0
2024-08-30Southwell62nd2nd0
2024-08-16Wolverhampton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0416/0827/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20242nd7/282%80%-0.02
20/05/20245th4/179%43%-0.36
28/06/20244th7/282%63%-0.19
16/08/202410th17/255%25%-0.30
30/08/20242nd13/266%90%+0.24
26/09/20243rd6/168%83%+0.15
27/08/202611th250/10%0%0.00
01/09/20266th25/10%0%0.00
26/09/20267th80/10%25%+0.25