
Hellcat
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 3 · OR 51
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap · 4f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/07/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |