Now Maybe

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 6 · OR 82

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 14y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▲3

Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C7.3

Today: 4

Class gap: -3.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-05	Ascot	3	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-06-12	Fairyhouse	?	2nd	7th	−4	3.2
2026-05-16	Navan	BHA87	6th	12th	−5	1.0
2026-04-25	Navan	?	3rd	8th	−4	2.2
2025-11-12	Dundalk	?	2nd	7th	−4	3.2
2025-09-22	Listowel	?	8th	13th	−4	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 35/100

▬ RUNS TO FORM

Trend▲

Strength57%

Delivery trend +8.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/09/2025	8th	7/2	82%	13%	-0.69
12/11/2025	2nd	85/40	89%	92%	+0.03
25/04/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	88%	+0.41
16/05/2026	6th	11/2	71%	17%	-0.54
12/06/2026	2nd	10/11	95%	94%	-0.01
05/09/2026	5th	18/1	5%	20%	+0.15