Spirit Of Jura
4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 2 · OR 77
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 14y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |