Without Compromise
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 4 · OR 77
Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 14y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Newcastle | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |