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7

Highfield Comrade

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 50

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap · 1m 3f 23y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a first win over C&D in January. In good form on all-weather after but came in last of 12 at Beverley (1½m, good) in April and off the track since. Has won off a break though so no forlorn hope.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Carlisle 10/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 52 · 1m3f39y Goo 121 · beat its mark10/07/2025 · OR 52 par10/076OR 526 @ Thirsk 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 50 · 1m4f8y Goo 117 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Catterick 27/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m5f192y Gd 124 · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 50 par27/086OR 506 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m4f14y Std 123 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 48 par6 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 47 · 1m3f23y Std 133 · beat its mark06/01/2026 · OR 47 par6/016OR 476 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 51 · 1m4f51y Std 137 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Newcastle 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 51 · 1m2f42y Std 131 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 51 par15/026OR 516 @ Southwell 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 51 · 1m3f24y Std 131 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m4f23y Goo 125 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 50 par15/046OR 50projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-15Beverley612th12th0
2026-03-28Southwell63rd3rd0
2026-02-15Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-01-16Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-01-06Southwell61st1st0
2025-10-24Southwell64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0724/1015/0215/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20256th12/137%44%+0.08
15/08/20253rd14/126%67%+0.40
27/08/20255th9/488%43%-0.45
24/10/20254th11/142%77%+0.35
06/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
16/01/20263rd5/493%71%-0.22
15/02/20263rd9/488%82%-0.06
28/03/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
15/04/202612th13/266%0%-0.66