IvyArcIvyArc
3

Revelio

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 60

Southwell · bettingsites.co.uk Each Way Extra Places Handicap · 1m 3f 23y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort when runner-up at Lingfield (1¼m) in June but has failed to build on it since, fifth of 11 in handicap at Haydock (11.5f, good to soft) last time. More needed on his all-weather debut in a first-time visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 26/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS26/0454 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m3y GF 142 · HIGHER CLASS30/0444 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS19/0546 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 65 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 65 par27/066OR 655 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 66 · 1m2f50y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 66 par18/075OR 665 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m4f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 65 par6/085OR 655 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m3f140y Sft 148 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 62 par3/095OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock55th4th+1
2026-08-06Newmarket54th3rd+1
2026-07-18Nottingham55th4th+1
2026-06-27Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-05-19Nottingham410th8th+2
2026-04-30Yarmouth49th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0427/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 29/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20256th18/15%44%+0.39
30/04/20269th8/158%0%-0.58
19/05/202610th80/10%10%+0.10
27/06/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
18/07/20265th13/266%20%-0.46
06/08/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
03/09/20265th10/147%60%+0.13