C V Dynamic
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |