Classic David
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |