Son Of A G Q
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 27
Thistledown · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-12-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |