4
Silver Brook
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 31
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +24.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |