Vertisalute
5yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |