3
Right Trappe
8yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 72
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 34/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 23/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |