4
Dynamic Vision
3yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 4 · OR 65
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-23 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |