Be Kozy
4yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 3 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-02-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/11/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/01/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 05/02/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 25/03/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 27/10/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |