5
Monaco
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Antonia - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Hyeres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 75/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |