3
Must D'hermes
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Antonia - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 17/06/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |