7
Myrtille Marboula
4yo Filly · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Antonia - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 18 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |