12
Mystic Parker
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Antonia - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/04/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |