2
Maelys Des Bordes
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 2
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 87/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |