15
Magic Alouette
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 15
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |