3
Mamzelle Dream
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 3
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-03 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 11-18 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |