18
Manon Pierji
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 18
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-27 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 11-17 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |