5

Mavina Des Etangs
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 5
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-10 | Toulouse | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/02/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/07/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 24/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 14/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |