4

Migraine De Connee
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 4
Vincennes · Prix Angelina - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-14 | Lisieux | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |