9
Liberator Phedo
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Antiope - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 65/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength91%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |